Cool Chart: Relative sector perfomance vs. steepness of Yield Curve

Investing Watch: Crossing Wall Street has a cool chart comparing how equity sectors during periods with different yield curve shapes.  For 2008, the yield curve is starting at a 10-year minue 3-month spread of 1%, with a steepening trend, maybe towards 2%.  What to invest in if the curve moves from 1% to 2% steepness: Health Care, Staples, Tech and Energy.  Makes sense, classic late-cycle and heading into recession sectors.  If the spread stays at 1%, drop tech for utilities.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.